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May China Market update

In May, China's equity markets marked a month of recovery, regaining much of the ground lost following the sharp imposition of Trump-era tariffs around Liberation Day. The MSCI China ,…

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Our take on tariffs

China’s equity markets declined by low to mid-single digits in April, marked by heightened intra-month volatility following the unexpected announcement of new Trump-era tariffs. Beneath these headlines, investors broadly sold off companies with significant overseas revenue exposure, while rotating into domestic consumption and self-sufficiency themes, perceived as beneficiaries of the ongoing US-China decoupling.

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China’s rapid progress in healthcare

The Chinese equity market showed a relatively positive trend in March. The market continued its spring rally during the first half of March, with risk appetite maintained during the "Two Sessions" period. Investments remained focused on policy-driven momentum and emerging industry trends. However, approaching the latter half of the month, the market was affected by the earnings reporting season. In early March, a three-year-old Chinese startup made global headlines with the launch of its first general AI agent, Manus.

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February China Market update

In February, the Chinese equity market saw a volatile rally followed by a sharp pullback. A-shares and H-shares surged early in the month fuelled by policy expectations and a tech…

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China’s AI Boom: Talent and Innovation Driving the Future

China’s AI and tech sector is advancing rapidly, driven by a skilled workforce, strong government support, and a vast data ecosystem. The launch of DeepSeek’s latest AI model highlights China’s ability to innovate despite US technology restrictions. Entrepreneurs and engineers continue to push boundaries, making breakthroughs in AI applications. With robust venture capital backing and a thriving startup culture, China is cementing its position as a global AI leader.

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China’s Fund Industry Got Talent

In December, the Chinese equity market experienced a rise followed by a pullback. However, offshore (Hong Kong) stocks still ended the month in positive territory, helping the overall indices to a positive end to the year. Benefitting from the year-end effect, dividend stocks have risen, while certain AI-related concepts still have momentum. Overall, the market remained in a consolidation phase following the rally since late September.

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Policy initiatives and sector rebounds

In November, the Chinese equity market showed significant volatility, with a pattern of early gains followed by a pullback. Small-cap stocks continued to outperform large-cap stocks. The MSCI China, MSCI China A Onshore and MSCI China All Share Indices declined by 4.5%, 1.5%, and 3.3%, respectively. Although the market was down overall, there were some positive sectors including banks, other financials and telecommunications.

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China market – the turning point?

In October, the Chinese equity market saw mixed performance across indices, with small-cap stocks continuing to outperform large-cap stocks. Major indices, which are primarily dominated by large-cap stocks, all experienced corrections. Market sentiment fluctuated between optimism and caution, as onshore "hot money" flowed into the market, while some institutional investors remained on the sidelines, waiting for further policy clarity.

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Notes from our recent trip to China

In September 2024 the Chinese equity markets experienced a substantial rebound. Driven by favourable policy measures, market sentiment was notably boosted. Among sectors, real estate, internet, and financials were the top performers, rising by 25.1%, 22.1% and 15.6%, respectively. The real estate sector led the gains, largely benefiting from various government measures aimed at stabilising the property market.

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Stronger policies aim to boost domestic demand

In August, the Chinese equity market experienced a series of fluctuations, largely driven by weaker quarterly earnings reports from many companies. Additionally, the opening of closed-end funds for redemption triggered localised liquidity events. In terms of sectors, petrochemicals and coal showed relative resilience, whereas national defence, agriculture, beauty, construction materials, and steel faced the most adjustments. Nevertheless, some sectors still exhibited overall growth and marginal improvements in quarterly performance, such as agriculture, telecommunications, electronics, insurance, wind power, chemical materials, and industrial metals.

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